General

General

@AGS
5 months ago

Most research services try to tell you what to buy. A few good ones just tell you where to look.

Idea generation is a bigger bottleneck than modeling for many investors.


I recently spent some time going through Snowball Research, an idea-generation service focused on U.S. companies under ~$5bn market cap, and thought it was worth sharing.


Instead of broad coverage or buy/sell calls, they concentrate on situations where something is changing:

  • Strategic shifts, restructurings and divestments

  • New CEOs/CFOs and short-tenure executive turnover

  • Activist campaigns and unusual 13D / 13F activity

  • Restatements, NT filings, debt amendments, and “odd” 8-Ks


Crucially, it’s not just event-driven noise. They consistently look for businesses with:

  • Competitive advantages / moats

  • Differentiated or niche market positions

  • Business models where a catalyst (new management, activism, capital allocation change) can realistically unlock value


Their output is structured as:

  • Stock reports on interesting special situations

  • Risk alerts when filings send up red flags

  • A weekly situational summary that curates relevant 13Ds, asset sales, and “strategic alternatives”


They explicitly don’t cover the S&P 500, don’t issue stock recommendations, and don’t take money from companies they write about. The whole point is to serve as a high-quality filter for research-first investors who already know how to do deep work, but have limited time to sift through filings.


A resource I found useful and thought might be interesting for other analysts and PMs who live in the small/mid-cap and special situations world.


If you work in equity research, special situations, or concentrated public markets investing, it’s probably worth a look.