General

General

@philfischerflank
7 months ago

Investment Advice to Be Wary Of

Here are some strategies I noticed that sound very appealing, but collapse under scrutiny because they ignore fundamental risks, margin of safety thinking, basic valuation principles, or human (behavioral) psychology:

  • “Buying because it can’t go any lower/it is cheap” – ignoring intrinsic value and buying just because it’s going up.

  • “Approaches that resemble speculation or gambling” – overemphasizing timing instead of business quality.

  • “Trade often to make money” or “follow the crowd” – treating the market as a casino.

  • “Investing in gold without taking inflation into account” – believing in narratives (“gold is a safe harbor in crisis, never loses value, etc.”) instead of hard factual numbers and data (bias and noise).

  • Housing“house prices will always go up,” “renting is throwing away money,” “your home is your best investment” – thinking without analysis of competitive capital deployment options and believing location solves every problem of real estate.

  • Investing- "Don't invest in the stockmarket because that is gambling"

  • Education- don't read and staying the same over time, share what you know about finances, staying ignorant and financial irresponsible to long in adulthood